| Kick-off | Mon, 12 Oct 2026 · 20:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | Coventry Building Society Arena |
Away Win Likely The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.2%.
| Newcastle win | 56% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| Coventry win | 20% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.9, Coventry 1.1.
Other likely scorelines: 1-2 (9.9%), 0-2 (9.1%), 0-1 (8.3%).
High Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Coventry this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mon, 12 Oct 2026 · 20:00 | Coventry vs Newcastle | Coventry Building Society Arena | 56% / 24% / 20% |
| Sat, 8 May 2027 · 15:00 | Newcastle vs Coventry | St James' Park | 74% / 17% / 9% |
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 7-8 |
| Coventry | 20 | 0 | 4 | 0-0-4 | 0-10 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.