| Kick-off | Sat, 8 May 2027 · 15:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Home Win Likely The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%.
| Newcastle win | 52% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25% |
| Coventry win | 23% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.8, Coventry 1.1.
Other likely scorelines: 2-1 (9.8%), 2-0 (8.6%), 1-0 (8.4%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Coventry are 16th in the Premier League on 9 points from 10 games: 3 won, 0 drawn and 7 lost.
They have scored 10 goals, the joint 5th fewest in the division, and conceded 19, the 2nd most: 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded a game, against a division average of 1.3.
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, 2 points and 3 places above Coventry.
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12-15 |
| Coventry | 16 | 9 | 10 | 3-0-7 | 10-19 |
The sides last met on 12 October 2026, when Newcastle lost 4-1 away at Coventry in the Premier League.
| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-12 | Newcastle lost | 1-4 (A) | Premier League |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.