| Kick-off | Sat, 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Arsenal Favoured The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.1%.
| Newcastle win | 22% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| Arsenal win | 52% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.1, Arsenal 1.8.
Other likely scorelines: 1-2 (9.8%), 0-1 (9%), 0-2 (9%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Arsenal this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 21 Nov 2026 · 15:00 | Newcastle vs Arsenal | St James' Park | 22% / 26% / 52% |
| Sat, 23 Jan 2027 · 15:00 | Arsenal vs Newcastle | Emirates Stadium | 14% / 21% / 65% |
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 7-8 |
| Arsenal | 1 | 12 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 8-1 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.