| Kick-off | Sat, 26 Dec 2026 · 15:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Slight Manchester City Edge The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11.8%.
| Newcastle win | 26% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25% |
| Manchester City win | 49% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.2, Manchester City 1.8.
Other likely scorelines: 1-2 (9.6%), 0-2 (7.7%), 0-1 (7.6%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Manchester City this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 26 Dec 2026 · 15:00 | Newcastle vs Manchester City | St James' Park | 26% / 25% / 49% |
| Sat, 20 Feb 2027 · 15:00 | Manchester City vs Newcastle | Etihad Stadium | 16% / 21% / 63% |
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 7-8 |
| Manchester City | 2 | 12 | 4 | 4-0-0 | 8-2 |
Full AI preview with team news, tactics and talking points lands in match week.
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All fixtures → · AI track record →
NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.