| Kick-off | Sat, 26 Dec 2026 · 20:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Manchester City Favoured The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%.
| Newcastle win | 24% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| Manchester City win | 52% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.3, Manchester City 2.
Other likely scorelines: 1-2 (9.6%), 0-2 (7.6%), 0-1 (6.7%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Manchester City this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between them.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 26 Dec 2026 · 20:00 | Newcastle vs Manchester City | St James' Park | 24% / 24% / 52% |
| Sat, 20 Feb 2027 · 15:00 | Manchester City vs Newcastle | Etihad Stadium | 13% / 19% / 68% |
Manchester City are 2nd in the Premier League on 21 points from 9 games: 7 won, 0 drawn and 2 lost.
They have scored 20 goals, the 2nd most in the division, and conceded 10, the joint 6th fewest: 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded a game, against a division average of 1.3.
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, 10 points and 11 places below Manchester City.
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12-15 |
| Manchester City | 2 | 21 | 9 | 7-0-2 | 20-10 |
Full AI preview with team news, tactics and talking points lands in match week.
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.