| Kick-off | Sun, 29 Nov 2026 · 14:05 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | Amex Stadium |
Brighton Favoured The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 10.2%.
| Newcastle win | 8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 15% |
| Brighton win | 77% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 0.9, Brighton 2.8.
Other likely scorelines: 3-0 (9.5%), 2-1 (8.7%), 3-1 (8.1%).
High Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Brighton this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between them.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 29 Nov 2026 · 14:05 | Brighton vs Newcastle | Amex Stadium | 8% / 15% / 77% |
| Sat, 30 Jan 2027 · 15:00 | Newcastle vs Brighton | St James' Park | 15% / 21% / 64% |
Brighton are 3rd in the Premier League on 19 points from 9 games: 6 won, 1 drawn and 2 lost.
They have scored 24 goals, the most in the division, and conceded 7, the 2nd fewest: 2.7 scored and 0.8 conceded a game, against a division average of 1.3.
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, 8 points and 10 places below Brighton.
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12-15 |
| Brighton | 3 | 19 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 24-7 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.