| Kick-off | Sat, 28 Nov 2026 · 15:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | Amex Stadium |
Slight Brighton Edge The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.8%.
| Newcastle win | 26% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27% |
| Brighton win | 47% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.2, Brighton 1.6.
Other likely scorelines: 2-1 (9.4%), 1-0 (8.9%), 2-0 (8.1%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Brighton this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 28 Nov 2026 · 15:00 | Brighton vs Newcastle | Amex Stadium | 26% / 27% / 47% |
| Sat, 30 Jan 2027 · 15:00 | Newcastle vs Brighton | St James' Park | 40% / 28% / 32% |
| Final table, last season | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 49 | 38 | 14-7-17 | 53-55 |
| Brighton | 8 | 53 | 38 | 14-11-13 | 52-46 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.