| Kick-off | Wed, 2 Dec 2026 · 20:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Slight Newcastle Edge The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 9.4%.
| Newcastle win | 46% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Manchester United win | 31% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 2, Manchester United 1.7.
Other likely scorelines: 2-1 (8.6%), 2-2 (7.1%), 1-2 (7%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Manchester United this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 2 Dec 2026 · 20:00 | Newcastle vs Manchester United | St James' Park | 46% / 23% / 31% |
| Wed, 6 Jan 2027 · 20:00 | Manchester United vs Newcastle | Old Trafford | 29% / 23% / 48% |
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 7-8 |
| Manchester United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 7-7 |
Full AI preview with team news, tactics and talking points lands in match week.
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.