| Kick-off | Wed, 2 Dec 2026 · 20:15 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Slight Newcastle Edge The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.5%.
| Newcastle win | 47% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| Manchester United win | 27% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.7, Manchester United 1.2.
Other likely scorelines: 2-1 (9.5%), 1-0 (8.2%), 2-0 (7.8%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Manchester United this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between them.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 2 Dec 2026 · 20:15 | Newcastle vs Manchester United | St James' Park | 47% / 26% / 27% |
| Thu, 7 Jan 2027 · 20:00 | Manchester United vs Newcastle | Old Trafford | 31% / 27% / 42% |
Manchester United are 17th in the Premier League on 7 points from 9 games: 1 won, 4 drawn and 4 lost.
They have scored 10 goals, the joint 5th fewest in the division, and conceded 15, the joint 5th most: 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded a game, against a division average of 1.3.
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, 4 points and 4 places above Manchester United.
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12-15 |
| Manchester United | 17 | 7 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 10-15 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.