| Kick-off | Sat, 5 Dec 2026 · 15:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Slight Newcastle Edge The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%.
| Newcastle win | 49% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26% |
| Sunderland win | 25% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.7, Sunderland 1.1.
Other likely scorelines: 2-1 (9.6%), 1-0 (8.7%), 2-0 (8.4%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Sunderland this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 5 Dec 2026 · 15:00 | Newcastle vs Sunderland | St James' Park | 49% / 26% / 25% |
| Sat, 1 May 2027 · 15:00 | Sunderland vs Newcastle | Stadium of Light | 34% / 27% / 39% |
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 7-8 |
| Sunderland | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3-5 |
Full AI preview with team news, tactics and talking points lands in match week.
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.