| Kick-off | Sat, 2 Jan 2027 · 15:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | Stamford Bridge |
Chelsea Favoured The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 7.5%.
| Newcastle win | 27% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20% |
| Chelsea win | 53% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.8, Chelsea 2.5.
Other likely scorelines: 2-2 (6.9%), 1-1 (6.6%), 3-1 (6.3%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Chelsea this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 2 Jan 2027 · 15:00 | Chelsea vs Newcastle | Stamford Bridge | 27% / 20% / 53% |
| Wed, 10 Feb 2027 · 20:00 | Newcastle vs Chelsea | St James' Park | 45% / 21% / 34% |
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 7-8 |
| Chelsea | 6 | 7 | 4 | 2-1-1 | 10-9 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.