| Kick-off | Sun, 3 Jan 2027 · 14:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | Stamford Bridge |
Chelsea Favoured The most likely scoreline is 2-1 at 9.3%.
| Newcastle win | 20% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 21% |
| Chelsea win | 59% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.3, Chelsea 2.4.
Other likely scorelines: 1-1 (8.7%), 3-1 (7.3%), 2-0 (7%).
High Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Chelsea this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between them.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, 3 Jan 2027 · 14:00 | Chelsea vs Newcastle | Stamford Bridge | 20% / 21% / 59% |
| Wed, 10 Feb 2027 · 20:00 | Newcastle vs Chelsea | St James' Park | 34% / 24% / 42% |
Chelsea are 4th in the Premier League on 16 points from 9 games: 5 won, 1 drawn and 3 lost.
They have scored 19 goals, the 3rd most in the division, and conceded 15, the joint 5th most: 2.1 scored and 1.7 conceded a game, against a division average of 1.3.
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, 5 points and 9 places below Chelsea.
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12-15 |
| Chelsea | 4 | 16 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 19-15 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.