| Kick-off | Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Carabao Cup |
| Venue | Hill Dickinson Stadium |
Slight Everton Edge The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.3%.
| Newcastle win | 31% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28% |
| Everton win | 41% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.3, Everton 1.5.
Other likely scorelines: 2-1 (8.9%), 1-0 (8.4%), 0-0 (7.7%).
Low Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 3 fixtures left against Everton this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wed, 28 Oct 2026 · 19:45 | Everton vs Newcastle | Hill Dickinson Stadium | 31% / 28% / 41% |
| Mon, 2 Nov 2026 · 20:00 | Newcastle vs Everton | St James' Park | 45% / 27% / 28% |
| Sat, 6 Feb 2027 · 15:00 | Everton vs Newcastle | Hill Dickinson Stadium | 31% / 28% / 41% |
| Final table, last season | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 49 | 38 | 14-7-17 | 53-55 |
| Everton | 13 | 49 | 38 | 13-10-15 | 47-50 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.