| Kick-off | Sat, 19 Dec 2026 · 12:30 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | Brentford Community Stadium |
Brentford Favoured The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.5%.
| Newcastle win | 16% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22% |
| Brentford win | 62% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1, Brentford 2.1.
Other likely scorelines: 2-0 (10.2%), 2-1 (9.9%), 1-0 (8.8%).
High Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Brentford this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between them.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 19 Dec 2026 · 12:30 | Brentford vs Newcastle | Brentford Community Stadium | 16% / 22% / 62% |
| Sat, 27 Feb 2027 · 15:00 | Newcastle vs Brentford | St James' Park | 26% / 26% / 48% |
Brentford are 7th in the Premier League on 14 points from 9 games: 3 won, 5 drawn and 1 lost.
They have scored 16 goals, the 4th most in the division, and conceded 9, the joint 4th fewest: 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded a game, against a division average of 1.3.
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, 3 points and 6 places below Brentford.
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12-15 |
| Brentford | 7 | 14 | 9 | 3-5-1 | 16-9 |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.