| Kick-off | Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 17:30 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Home Win Likely The most likely scoreline is 2-0 at 11%.
| Newcastle win | 62% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23% |
| Aston Villa win | 15% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 2, Aston Villa 0.9.
Other likely scorelines: 1-1 (10.8%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9.9%).
High Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Newcastle have 2 fixtures left against Aston Villa this season. The model prices each one separately, because home advantage and the state of the table move the numbers between the two.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Venue | Newcastle win / draw / loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, 17 Oct 2026 · 17:30 | Newcastle vs Aston Villa | St James' Park | 62% / 23% / 15% |
| Sat, 15 May 2027 · 15:00 | Aston Villa vs Newcastle | Villa Park | 45% / 27% / 28% |
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1-2-1 | 7-8 |
| Aston Villa | 19 | 1 | 4 | 0-1-3 | 1-7 |
Full AI preview with team news, tactics and talking points lands in match week.
Live match centre →Newcastle vs Hull City · Coventry vs Newcastle · Crystal Palace vs Newcastle · Everton vs Newcastle · Fulham vs Newcastle · Newcastle vs Arsenal
All fixtures → · AI track record →
NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.