| Kick-off | Sat, 15 May 2027 · 15:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | Villa Park |
Slight Aston Villa Edge The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 13.1%.
| Newcastle win | 28% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27% |
| Aston Villa win | 45% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1.2, Aston Villa 1.6.
Other likely scorelines: 2-1 (9.3%), 1-0 (8.9%), 2-0 (7.8%).
Medium Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Aston Villa are 11th in the Premier League on 12 points from 9 games: 3 won, 3 drawn and 3 lost.
They have scored 10 goals, the joint 5th fewest in the division, and conceded 13, the joint 8th most: 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded a game, against a division average of 1.3.
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, 1 point and 2 places below Aston Villa.
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12-15 |
| Aston Villa | 11 | 12 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 10-13 |
The sides last met on 17 October 2026, when Newcastle lost 1-0 at St James' Park in the Premier League.
| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Newcastle lost | 0-1 (H) | Premier League |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.