| Kick-off | Sat, 20 Mar 2027 · 15:00 |
|---|---|
| Competition | Premier League |
| Venue | St James' Park |
Too Close to Call The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 14.8%.
| Newcastle win | 31% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 32% |
| Leeds win | 37% |
Expected goals: Newcastle 1, Leeds 1.1.
Other likely scorelines: 0-0 (12.8%), 0-1 (11.7%), 1-0 (10.5%).
Low Confidence · Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on team attack and defence strengths, recent form and venue · public track record
Leeds are 8th in the Premier League on 14 points from 10 games: 3 won, 5 drawn and 2 lost.
They have scored 10 goals, the joint 5th fewest in the division, and conceded 8, the 3rd fewest: 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded a game, against a division average of 1.3.
Newcastle are 13th on 11 points, 3 points and 5 places below Leeds.
| League table | Pos | Pts | Pld | W-D-L | GF-GA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle United | 13 | 11 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 12-15 |
| Leeds | 8 | 14 | 10 | 3-5-2 | 10-8 |
The sides last met on 14 September 2026, when Newcastle lost 4-1 away at Leeds in the Premier League.
| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Newcastle lost | 1-4 (A) | Premier League |
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NUFC Pulse: Newcastle United AI match predictions. A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles correction, run on fixtures, results and standings from API-Football.